Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.470634 0.522293 0.577972 0.642559 0.715561 0.795679 0.890484
2025-04-13 0.372877 0.440673 0.519201 0.617347 0.737370 0.880183 1.064188
2025-04-20 0.330601 0.407480 0.500953 0.623897 0.782718 0.982824 1.256978
2025-04-27 0.300465 0.383061 0.487501 0.630733 0.824359 1.080322 1.449842
2025-05-04 0.276431 0.362674 0.475435 0.635752 0.861216 1.172146 1.642460
2025-05-11 0.255649 0.343911 0.462748 0.637174 0.891296 1.255366 1.830002
2025-05-18 0.240158 0.330547 0.455564 0.644548 0.929092 1.351627 2.046078
2025-05-25 0.220413 0.309326 0.435159 0.630255 0.932489 1.395562 2.184269
2025-06-01 0.209812 0.300230 0.431173 0.639448 0.971583 1.497052 2.425650
2025-06-08 0.196754 0.286403 0.418899 0.634486 0.987304 1.561854 2.611798
2025-06-15 0.187582 0.277657 0.413462 0.639437 1.018885 1.654893 2.857079
2025-06-22 0.175977 0.264317 0.399855 0.629883 1.025044 1.704676 3.028978
2025-06-29 0.166318 0.253558 0.389818 0.625807 1.040857 1.774057 3.248941
2025-07-06 0.153143 0.236397 0.368389 0.600921 1.018114 1.772078 3.330701
2025-07-13 0.147391 0.230824 0.365417 0.607302 1.051529 1.876229 3.637334
2025-07-20 0.142149 0.225715 0.362793 0.613927 1.085726 1.984937 3.967589
2025-07-27 0.136995 0.220402 0.359407 0.618793 1.116824 2.090436 4.305059
2025-08-03 0.131634 0.214391 0.354382 0.620171 1.141136 2.184520 4.629927
2025-08-10 0.127593 0.210394 0.352581 0.627320 1.177270 2.306359 5.035689
2025-08-17 0.120578 0.200801 0.340227 0.613463 1.169773 2.335151 5.224302
2025-08-24 0.117443 0.197886 0.339711 0.622376 1.209725 2.470373 5.693121
2025-08-31 0.112546 0.191536 0.332511 0.617566 1.220350 2.541580 6.010704
2025-09-07 0.109285 0.187969 0.330233 0.622366 1.251842 2.663182 6.478079